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Solar Panels - a good idea? yes or no?

Very detailed article worth re-posting.

NY Times -- The Wirecutter

10 Questions to Consider Before Buying Solar Panels

Published June 14, 2024



Tim Heffernan is a writer who covers air and water quality and sustainable-energy technology. He prefers Flare-brand match smoke for purifier testing.

The final price to install solar panels on a rooftop might be $50,000 different from one house to another. But some costs are common to almost every installation.

As you sketch out your dream system and think about your budget, our aim is to give you the knowledge to ask potential installers detailed, informed, and revealing questions.

A solar-panel system is expected to last for 30 years. The more you know now, the better the odds are that you’ll get a system you’ll want to keep for that long.


1. How much do solar panels cost?

A lot of people ultimately decide to go solar because the math works out over the long term. But to figure that out, you must first determine what your system should cost up front.

The answer to that question: It’s complicated, and it depends.

When Larry Gawel and his wife installed solar at their Lincoln, Nebraska, home in 2016, the system cost about $18,000. The system has since provided for almost all their electrical needs, including heating and cooling. Recently their retirement planner asked for a summary of their utility bills and assumed that the figure they gave him was per month. “I told him no, that’s an entire year,” Gawel said.

At the other end of the range is the Central Florida home of Erik Erickson, Wirecutter’s director of platform engineering. To manage hurricane threats and routine power outages, Erik has specced out a slightly oversize solar array coupled to four backup batteries. Capable of powering the home if the grid goes down for a week or more, the system will come in at about $68,000.

The average price falls somewhere in between. The median price of a US residential solar installation was $4.20 per watt in 2022 (down from $14 in 2000), and such a system produced 7.2 kilowatts, according to a report from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (PDF). (That number skews low because California installs the most residential systems, but they’re relatively small; other states average above 8 kilowatts.) That works out to a total cost of about $30,240.

EnergySage, a “solar matchmaker” whose expertise we’ve highlighted before, has a detailed chart of state-by-state average costs that may give you a rough idea of what to expect for your home. Just be aware that the results shown there are limited to a system size (5 kilowatts) that may not match your own needs, and the figures are lower by about 25% than the numbers in the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory report. In part, this is because EnergySage factors in savings that you can get only if you use EnergySage to connect with contractors in your area.

2. How much will federal tax credits help?

The federal government will subsidize 30% of the cost of your solar project.

The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 made several important changes to how federal solar tax credits work. For one, it extended the credit for years, until 2034; it also raised the rebate to 30% of the total cost of installation until 2032, after which it tails off to 26% and 22% the next two years.

There’s no cap to the cost, either—whether you pay $10,000 or $100,000 for your solar project, you get the full value of the credit.

In a sense, that may be all that you as a homeowner need to know. You have a long window in which to decide whether to go solar, where you can be confident of writing off 30% of the total cost. Your up-front costs will be reduced by almost a third, and you’ll recoup your investment that much faster.

Significantly, you can spread the credit across as many as the next five years of tax returns. This option is designed to maximize the credit’s benefits, since not every household will owe 30% of their project cost in taxes in the year of installation.

The Inflation Reduction Act also improves certainty and long-term planning in the solar industry itself, said Joe Lipari, vice president of projects at Brooklyn SolarWorks. “We always joke and call it the ‘solar coaster’ because so much of it is really influenced by political whims,” he said. “What the IRA did was provide certainty that this is an incentive that’s going to be here to stay… We’re so accustomed to, ‘It’s going to expire next year. Sign up now. Get it while you can. It’s never going to get better.’ It changes the mindset.”

And that should help smaller, customer-oriented local solar contractors—such as Brooklyn SolarWorks—stick around.

We strongly recommend working with such a contractor, versus a large national firm whose business model, as detailed by Alana Semuels in Time, prioritizes sales over service. (In Semuels’s words, “National solar companies essentially became finance companies that happened to sell solar.”) Tellingly, the first of the “40 Questions to Ask an Installer” suggested by the nonprofit American Solar Energy Society are “What year was your company established?” and “Where are its offices?”

3. What about state and local incentives?

Many states, municipalities, and utilities have their own incentive programs that will further reduce your costs, often significantly. For example, Wirecutter editor-in-chief Ben Frumin got an additional 19% of his solar installation subsidized by New York programs.

DSIRE, the Database of State Incentives for Renewables & Efficiency, makes it easy to find programs in your area using just your zip code. California, Minnesota, New York, and Texas have more than 100, and most states have at least several dozen. You still have to read through the descriptions of the individual programs to find those that apply to you (some have qualifying restrictions, such as income level), but having all of them gathered in one place for research purposes is a big help.

Any contractors you speak with should also be familiar with the programs you likely qualify for—after all, it’s in their own self-interest to help bring you to the decision to go solar—and if they are not, consider that a warning flag. Confirm that the contractors are authorized to submit proof-of-work statements to the utilities and agencies that handle the incentive programs, as well, since you’ll need that for your claims.

4. How does financing work?

Installers may offer rates that are lower than banks’ too, which will lower your monthly payments, though likely not your total outlay.

“We try to make sure that we are very transparent with the customers as to what that looks like,” said J.W. Peters, co-founder of Solar Power of Oklahoma, one of the state’s oldest installers. “We have some options that are a 25-year loan at a 4.9% interest. But that loan product actually costs us more money to be able to offer to that homeowner. And so therefore, our cost estimate adjusts our baseline costs to adjust for that as well.”

You may find that it makes sense to put up some of the payment in cash. Wirecutter’s Erik Erickson carefully considered his options when working out the cost for his system. Eliminating his family’s monthly $415 electricity bill was a top priority, and “basically I’m getting down to $415 a month [in finance payments] if I put $7,000 down on top,” he said, “which is a chunk of change and was one of the biggest reasons I took a month to deliberate, because this doesn’t pencil out without extra money down.”

5. Will solar pay for itself?

In the long run, it almost certainly will.

The tax credit is effectively a direct price cut on the cost of going solar. But solar installations also generally pay for themselves over time, through a combination of lowering your electricity bills and a process known as net metering.

Unless you plan to install storage batteries, even after going solar you’ll use power from the electrical grid at night, when your solar panels are producing nothing. And in high-demand periods—often summer or winter, when you’re cooling or heating your home, respectively—you may draw some electricity from the grid during the daytime, too.

Usually, you’ll still get a bill from your utility every month.

But much of the time, your system will produce more electricity than you need—weekdays when nobody is at home, for example, or shoulder months like March or April, when your area has a ton of sunlight and you’re not blasting your electricity-sucking air conditioner.

That excess power will go back onto the grid for other customers to use, and your utility will give you credit for the value of that power on your next billing cycle. That’s net metering, and with a well-designed system it means you’ll wind up paying very little for your electricity over the course of a year.

Over time, the money you save will more than cover the cost of the system and any loan interest.

However, it’s important to know how your utility calculates net metering, because that’s key to figuring out how fast you’ll see a return on your solar investment.

6. How does your utility provider handle solar?

Knowing who provides your power and how the utility’s net metering works will make you a shrewder judge of contractors when you’re seeking bids.

Who provides the home’s electricity is one of the first questions Solar Power of Oklahoma’s J.W. Peters asks of prospective customers. Like most states, Peters explained, Oklahoma is served by a mix of publicly owned utilities, municipally owned utilities, and member-owned cooperatives. They use different net metering rates and credit structures—and some don’t offer net metering, period.

“We need to know who they have so I can figure that into the calculations,” Peters said. “We’ve seen a lot of kind [of] fly-by-night, door-to-door-salesman-type people coming in and knocking on doors in neighborhoods that know nothing about the utility structure in that area. They’re selling people systems, and in some cases even installing them, under false pretenses of what that system will do for those customers.” In the worst cases, he said, people have had solar installed, only to learn that they are not allowed to connect to the grid at all—so when the sun goes down, their home doesn’t have electricity.

Tom Broderick of Flagstaff, Arizona, talked to four installers when he was going solar in 2010. “One of them knew what he was talking about—one,” he said. “Some of them said some really dumb things, and I didn’t call them on it, because I wanted to give them the opportunity to say more dumb things and find out what they really knew and what they really didn’t.”

Think like him. Understand your utility’s net metering program before seeking bids, and as Broderick emphasized, “Look at multiple installers. Get references. Check their business record with the Better Business Bureau. How long have they been in business? Are they certified?” Ideally that would mean certified by NABCEP, the North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners.

7. Will solar panels increase your home’s value?

Installing solar is unlikely to add immediate net-positive resale value to your home: A 2015 Department of Energy study (PDF) put the number at $15,000, and a 2019 analysis by Zillow found that solar added an average of just 4.1% to resale prices. That might not cover the cost of installing it, at least in the short term.

Some solar installations require additional work to repair or replace a home’s roof, which can raise the value of the home over the long term even if the costs may outweigh the value gains in the near term. We plan to address that topic and other roof-related questions—the direction it faces, its angle, how roofing materials factor into your decisions—in a separate follow-up to this article.

8. Can you trust online cost estimators?

Anyone researching this topic has likely stumbled upon some free online cost estimators, such as EnergySage’s tool.

Through that estimator, EnergySage calculates your potential lifetime savings from going solar based on your address and current monthly electricity bills, after which it solicits free bids from licensed and vetted solar contractors.

Another estimator, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s PVWatts, calculates your potential solar-energy production based on your address and roof size.

There’s also DSIRE, the Database of State Incentives for Renewables & Efficiency, which lists potential sources of low-interest loans, rebates, and other incentives for going solar based on your zip code.

Such cost estimators certainly help. But the reality is that to truly get a sense of the cost and value, you have to decide what you want solar to do for you—what you value most among the many benefits it can bring—and then work within your means to get a system that meets your needs.

9. Are there other—and cheaper—ways to save energy costs?

Absolutely.

You can do a lot of things to lower your energy bills and carbon footprint that, happily, cost much less than a solar installation.

Consider community solar. You effectively pay for panels that are installed at a solar-production facility. They supply electricity to the grid at large, and you get a credit on your energy bill, much as you would with a system you installed at your house, but the household disruption and soft costs are eliminated.

Community solar is expanding rapidly, with annual growth more than doubling nationwide every year since 2010. “Community solar has been a major driver of opening market access for folks, particularly people for whom residential solar isn’t financially or logistically feasible,” said Gilbert Michaud, assistant professor of environmental policy at Loyola University Chicago and policy division chair of the American Solar Energy Society.

At the end of 2022, the baseline year of the most recent National Renewable Energy Laboratory report (PDF), community solar facilities totalling more than 6 gigawatts of capacity had been installed in 43 states and Washington, DC, with a third of that capacity installed in 2021 alone.

However, the distribution of community solar is uneven, with four states—Florida, New York, Minnesota, and Massachusetts—accounting for 75% of it (in terms of wattage) and the top 10 states accounting for more than 90%. Depending on where you live, you may have to do some legwork to find a local project to invest in.

Finally, and for older homes especially, relatively inexpensive upgrades to things like insulation and weather sealing can lower utility bills substantially. We cover many of the options in detail in our guide to home weatherizing. And Michaud pointed out that they too are supported by the Inflation Reduction Act—as part of the $8.8 billion Home Energy Rebates program—and by many state and local programs as well.

10. What about the environmental benefits?

When I spoke with Iain Walker of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in 2023, he brought up a way of thinking about green technology that stuck with me.

There are dollar savings to consider, he said, and there are carbon savings—and sometimes the two don’t quite add up. A new induction stove would cost him considerably more in electricity each month than his old stove would cost him in gas, he said by way of an example. But its carbon footprint would be much lower, and that in itself is valuable to him.

Homeowner Tom Broderick told us, “[My] motivation is mainly climate change and doing something about it at my personal level,” but “it did matter that through my retirement, my costs would be lower for electricity.”

Homeowner Larry Gawel is pleased that he’s saving money and emissions at the same time: “Both of them are important to me.”

Wirecutter’s Erik Erickson plans to add an EV charger (and an EV) to his system, but “in a few years, after this is all through, because this is the most expensive project we’ve ever done.”

For homeowner Tom Lee, the initial decision to go solar—in Los Angeles, back in 2009—was basically a dollars-and-cents matter. He was already doing a major home renovation, so it was a sensible time to get the installation done. The system was not cheap, at around $60,000, but “this house was going to be my forever house, so I figured it’s a good idea, right?” he said. “Especially with all this money coming back to me [from rebates and utility savings].”

But as time and technology moved forward 15 years, so did his appreciation for what he’d done. “I feel proud that I’m a solar owner,” he said.

This article was edited by Harry Sawyers and Ben Frumin.

Meet your guide


Tim Heffernan

Tim Heffernan is a senior staff writer focusing on air and water quality and home energy efficiency. A former writer for The Atlantic, Popular Mechanics, and other national magazines, he joined Wirecutter in 2015. He owns three bikes and zero derailleurs.


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